Core Tip: The Ministry of Housing and Construction, the National Development and Reform Commission and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Project to Expand Building Materials to the Countryside in 2011", and expanded the pilot project of building materials to the countryside to Beijing, Tianjin, Shandong, Chongqing and Ningxia, and continued to promote Cement went to the countryside and promoted the positive impact of the use of bulk cement. Yesterday, the cement sector performed relatively strong.
The Ministry of Housing and Construction, the National Development and Reform Commission and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in Expanding the Building Materials to the Countryside in 2011", expanding the pilot project of building materials to the countryside to Beijing, Tianjin, Shandong, Chongqing and Ningxia, and continuing to promote cement to the countryside. And to promote the positive impact of the use of bulk cement, yesterday's cement sector performance is relatively strong.
In recent trading days, the trend of the cement sector has been significantly stronger than the broader market. From the K-line chart of the cement sector index, there seems to be signs of building the bottom. However, even so, investors are still jealous of the cement sector and do not dare to intervene easily.
On July 15 this year, the cement sector index reached a high of 3422 points, showing a downward trend, the lowest fell to 2142 points on September 13, the largest cumulative decline of 37.4%. Since July 15th, the biggest decline of the Shanghai Composite Index is only 15.52%, and the cumulative decline of the cement sector has significantly exceeded the market.
"The large decline in the cement sector is definitely a problem with the fundamentals. Plus the current market is in a weak position, so I personally think that the risk of involvement in the cement sector is relatively large." Li Xin believes.
“The cement sector has slightly outperformed the market in the near term, mainly because the demand has recovered slightly.†Wang Yinyu, an analyst at Shenyin Wanguo, said that in the fourth quarter, due to the impact of funds, demand is still at risk, which may not be as good as in previous years. There is some suppression, but from the perspective of the ring, there will still be improvement. At the same time, after the previous decline, the risk has been partially released.
"Although the overall profit forecast for the eastern cement stocks this year is unlikely to be significantly reduced, but due to the decline in prices, there may be negative growth in cement stock earnings next year, so investors should be cautious about cement stocks." Analyst of Guotai Junan Sun Ying said that although the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in Expanding the Building Materials to the Countryside in 2011" will definitely benefit the cement stocks, it is difficult to substantially boost the performance of the cement stocks. “Under the anti-optimistic background, it is unlikely that cement stocks will continue to rise sharply in the near future. It is recommended that investors should remain cautious about cement stocks,†said Zhang Shizhao, an analyst at Northeast Securities.
Concerned about surprises
Label: Cement plate should be treated with caution
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