Abstract Recently, the US Department of Commerce released the second round of anti-dumping and countervailing final ruling results for China's crystalline silicon photovoltaic products. The moment the boots landed, the industry was quite calm. In fact, just before, the Canadian government also announced the opening of China's crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules and thin film solar products...
Recently, the US Department of Commerce released the second round of anti-dumping and counter-subsidy final results for China's crystalline silicon photovoltaic products. The moment the boots landed, the industry was quite calm. In fact, just before, the Canadian government also announced anti-dumping and countervailing investigations on China's crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules and thin-film solar products. However, the intensifying trade friction "new normal" has not been so great for Chinese PV companies whose main battlefield has already been transferred. US local companies do not "receive"
This is the second time that the US Department of Commerce initiated a “double-reverse†investigation on similar products in China after launching a “double-reverse†survey on Chinese PV products. According to the final ruling, the United States will impose anti-dumping duties of up to 165.04% on mainland China products, and 27.64% to 49.79% countervailing duties, while Taiwanese manufacturers face anti-dumping duties of 27.55%. This is also confirmed by the US International Trade Commission. According to some data, the landing of the second "double anti-" in the United States will directly affect China's photovoltaic products of up to 3 billion US dollars.
In this regard, China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Mechanical and Electrical Products expressed strong opposition, saying that it is "a significant abuse of trade remedy measures, a trade protectionism in disguise", "especially in the 2014 meeting between the leaders of China and the United States, In the case of further promoting a series of important consensuses on bilateral trade and investment between China and the United States, the US Department of Commerce’s approach will have an adverse impact on Sino-US trade and investment.†For the US’s protection measures, some US companies do not seem to "Let's love."
According to the US financial news website CNBC reported on December 28, 2014, a US semiconductor company recently announced the closure of a factory and blamed the US federal government. "This is not trade protectionism: we are blocked, and it is actually a bad thing for US employment," said Jig Sha, chairman and co-founder of the US Solar Energy Alliance. "A lot of work in the US Solar Energy Alliance." People have to face the risk of being laid off, and raising the price of solar modules means that many of the projects we have signed will lose competitiveness."
In fact, for Europe, the United States, and Canada, local component manufacturing costs are too high and capacity is difficult to meet market demand, which means they must purchase components from China.
Therefore, in the view of Li Xiande, chairman of Jinko Energy, the impact of US trade tariffs on US solar jobs and US customers will be greater than its impact on Jinko Energy.
Key market territory moved east
Compared with the previous "double opposition", the enthusiasm of the Chinese enterprises to respond to the complaint is obviously not high, and the response to this matter is also very dull.
In fact, China's PV modules account for only 11% of annual production and 19% of exports, and many companies have reduced their exports to the United States. Coupled with the large-scale launch of the domestic market, the photovoltaic industry has been recovering since the second half of 2013, and these have undoubtedly given the PV companies a "reassuring".
Jingjing Energy Global Brand spokesman Qian Jing believes that the global PV market growth rate rebounded in 2014, and as the demand in emerging markets continues to expand, the market's focus on the east shift has been determined.
She judged that the market represented by China, Japan and the United States, driven by favorable policies, may have a target installed capacity of 15 GW, 8.8 GW and 9 GW respectively; the United States will continue to increase its volume, similar to China. The distributed market will gradually catch up with the ground power station; in addition to the already huge global PV installed capacity in the Asia-Pacific region, China will continue to experience rapid growth, and the Indian and Thai markets will also see explosive growth in 2015; In emerging markets such as Chile, Brazil, and South Africa, global installed capacity is expected to continue to grow at a positive rate in 2015, reaching around 55 GW.
“That is to say, the United States and Europe are no longer the main battlegrounds for China's PV. Transferring to Japan and other emerging markets is already a major choice for many companies and a major trend in domestic PV product exports.†She said that PV markets in some emerging countries The start is very fast, because the retail electricity prices in these countries are higher, and the cost of photovoltaic products continues to decline, so that the goal of parity online can be achieved faster than the low-cost regions in China.
Wang Yingchun, general manager of Jiangsu Zhengxin Photovoltaic Electronics Co., Ltd., which focuses on Japan as the main export market, said that in addition to the Chinese domestic market, the company sells photovoltaic modules in Japan, and also does EPC system solutions, with a complete design and construction team, with a view to better. Open up the Japanese market.
Welcome to great development in 2015
In the opinion of industry experts, the trade friction of China's photovoltaic products is not only a simple manufacturing dispute, but also reflects the competition of the world's countries for future energy resources. European and American countries are over-reliant on China's highly cost-effective products, which are equivalent to the “throat†of important future energy components, which are subject to China's control and thus easily lead to various trade disputes.
As the world's largest photovoltaic manufacturing base, China will also enter the world's largest application market. After experiencing the initial "double opposition" unprepared, many PV companies have adjusted their development strategies, such as opening up domestic and emerging markets, setting up factories overseas, increasing investment in downstream power plants, and optimizing the structure of corporate profit models.
For example, Chint Solar Technology Co., Ltd. has made a global strategic layout, avoiding “double-reverse†punitive tariffs through German overseas factories and foundries in the Asia-Pacific region. Zhejiang Wanxiang Solar Technology Co., Ltd., which accounts for 50% to 60% of the US business, has already established a solar plant in Chicago in the United States in 2010. For example, Jinko Energy's entire China business has accounted for 50% of its global shipments in 2014.
After experiencing the “double opposition†and the elimination of production capacity, the Chinese PV industry entered a new round of prosperity in 2014, and the signs of recovery are obvious. At the same time, the concentration of the industry is further enhanced through mergers and acquisitions, acquisitions and further capacity expansion.
The industry expects that by 2015, the top 10 PV manufacturers in the world will concentrate 40% to 50% of the entire industry. The cost of battery production will further decline, which means that large-scale production will have further advantages.
Therefore, in the view of Qian Jing, 2015 is a year of great development in China's PV market. At the time of the main battlefield of PV product export, the development of China's PV market is moving from simple low-price competition to refined design, refined construction and high-quality development, both in quantity and quality. A new step.
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