High output and low profit will still run through the “Twelfth Five-Year” steel industry

Recently, the guiding document of the development of China's steel industry during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, "Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for the Iron and Steel Industry" was officially released. The "Planning" mainly clarifies the development strategy and goals of the steel industry, clarifies the development priorities, guides the market to optimize the allocation of resources, and deploys the transformation and upgrading of the steel industry. The "Planning" clarifies the development goals of the iron and steel industry during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period: at the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", the structural adjustment of the steel industry has made significant progress, basically forming a relatively reasonable distribution of productive forces, and the total steel and variety quality basically meet the national economy. The development needs will initially realize the transformation of the steel industry from large to strong. The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” document covers a wide range of content and points out the main problems currently facing, including: 1. The quality of the products needs to be upgraded; 2. The progress of the layout adjustment is slow; 3. The energy, environment and raw materials are strengthened; 4 The ability of independent innovation is not strong. The forecast of crude steel consumption in 2015 was predicted. Using the industry consumption survey method, regional consumption balance method, consumption coefficient and regression analysis, the domestic crude steel-oriented consumption in 2015 was about 750 million tons. It is worth noting that this data object is oriented consumption, not apparent consumption and actual production. According to industry expectations, the national crude steel output will reach 700 million tons this year, compared with the total output of 627 million tons in 2010. The speed is obvious, the overall overcapacity of the sword of Damocles is still high above the head. The comprehensive application of the law of value and administrative means to solve this problem is still a difficult problem that the current and even the next government has to face. At the same time, in order to achieve the transformation from large to strong, a series of specific targets were proposed, including: 1. High-end varieties such as silicon steel and axle steel, which were mainly imported, and high-strength threaded steel bars of 400 MPa and above have a self-sufficiency rate of over 80%. 2, the elimination of 400 cubic meters and below blast furnace does not contain cast iron, 30 tons and below converters and electric furnaces, and put forward a series of indicators for emissions and energy conservation; 3, industrial layout adjustment, blind expansion of overcapacity areas is suppressed, built Zhanjiang The Fangchenggang Iron and Steel Quality Base will fundamentally solve the problem of “Northern Steel South Transportation”; 4. Basically establish a primary fuel security system for iron ore, coal and other steel industries with benefits sharing, and increase the production capacity of overseas iron ore by more than 100 million tons; 5. The key R&D investment of key steel enterprises accounts for more than 1.5% of the main business income, and widely applies key technologies such as efficient production and energy saving and emission reduction; 6. The industrial concentration is greatly improved, and the top 10 steel enterprises in the country account for the national steel output. The proportion of the total increased from 48.6% to around 60%. On the whole, the mention of the six-point initiative is an urgent problem that the domestic steel industry and steel enterprises urgently need to solve. However, if it is difficult to achieve the target, the high-end product transformation, industrial layout re-planning, and strengthening of research and development investment are all needed. A large amount of capital investment is not a burden to the Chinese steel industry, which has a lower profit margin than the bank's deposit interest rate for the same period. Under the background of the downstream raw materials madly squeezed into the upstream profit margin, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the domestic steel industry's high output, low growth rate and low profitability will continue to run through.

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