Can the "13th Five-Year" biodiesel industry start again?

Under the trend of global energy transformation, China is accelerating the pace of the transition of the energy system to a clean and low-carbon model. Biodiesel uses vegetable oil, waste oil, waste engine oil, etc. as raw materials, and has obvious advantages such as high cetane number and low sulfur content. Its environmental performance is far superior to current petrochemical diesel. In the new stage of development, whether China's biodiesel industry can overcome the shortcomings of the industry's unsound system and high cost, and thus achieve considerable development, we will analyze it in detail.

"13th Five-Year Plan" non-petrochemical energy ratio increases energy structure adjustment acceleration

According to the data, the annual domestic biodiesel production in 2016 was about 410,000 tons, an increase of 17.17% compared with 2015, mainly because biodiesel sold well in the chemical plasticizer market, especially in October-November 2016. The export market of plasticizers such as epoxy resin and DOP is relatively hot, which has led to an increase in the shipment of biodiesel, and the enthusiasm of manufacturers to enter the market has increased. In contrast, the market for oil-adjusting raw materials, due to the high price of biodiesel raw materials, the profit margin of the oil adjustment is meager or even upside down, and the operators are operating in the field. The trading of biodiesel for the oil adjustment market is very deserted.

In addition, in the development of biomass energy, the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” will focus on biomass power generation technology, large and medium-sized biogas technology, and rural biogas applications. The use of biodiesel is about 500,000 tons, which only accounts for biomass. 2.5% of the available capacity. In recent years, China's various types of biomass energy utilization increased from 20 million tons of standard coal in 2010 to 436 million tons of standard coal in 2015. However, due to limited support for biodiesel in terms of policy, biodiesel lags behind the development of oil adjustment. Other renewable energy sources.

On December 10, 2016, China issued the “13th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development”, further proposing that in 2020 and 2030, non-fossil energy will account for 15% and 20% of primary energy consumption, respectively. During the Second Five-Year Plan period, non-fossil energy accounted for 11.4% and 15% of primary energy consumption, respectively, with an increase of 3.6% and 5%. With the introduction of the new non-petrochemical energy target of the “13th Five-Year Plan”, China's biodiesel will usher in new policy support.

The new goal boosts the wait-and-see mood in the limited field.

China's biodiesel is expensive as a raw material for adjusting diesel, and even surpassed the price of the blended diesel market in the first quarter. Analysis of China's biodiesel market shows that biodiesel prices are high due to the imperfect collection system of biodiesel raw materials and high production costs. Under the extrusion of other oil-regulating raw materials, the biodiesel market for oil blending in 2016 was relatively sluggish, and domestic producers turned to the chemical plasticizer market.

Although the newly released “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” clearly states: upgrading and upgrading the biodiesel project, improving product quality and meeting the needs of transportation fuel quality. However, according to Jin Lianchuang, since the release of the “13th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development” in December 2016, there has been no significant boost to the biodiesel market. Due to long-term lack of policy support, domestic producers are currently in biodiesel. There is very little operation in the oil adjustment market, and the industry is not optimistic about the market outlook. In addition, due to the current low temperature in the north, some producers have suspended operations, and most of the new policies are on the sidelines, and look forward to the introduction of specific supporting measures.

Severe environmental pollution has become a huge obstacle to the long-term development of China. The transformation of the energy system is imminent. Biodiesel has become an important energy source for improving the environmental quality of petrochemical diesel with its good environmental performance. The author hopes that the “13th Five-Year Plan” will bring new opportunities to the biodiesel market, and will follow up and report on this.

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